By Kwame Ismail Nkurunziza
If you are a National Unity Platform (NUP) supporter who wears his heart on the sleeve or battles anxiety you should stop right here!
This is because according to veteran journalist Andrew Mwenda, things don’t look good for the NUP presidential candidate Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu aka Bobi Wine, who is contesting against National Resistance Movement (NUP) candidate Yoweri Kaguta Museveni Tibuhaburwa.
In Mwenda’s own words, Bobbi Wine’s goal to become Ugandans president for the next five years will end in tears.
Writing on Facebook Monday January 4th, 2021, Mwenda outlined three major hurdles that Bobi Wine will have to overcome if he is to increase his chances of becoming president.
The Urban Youth Vote
According to Mwenda, in the last general election, only 45% of registered voters in opposition strongholds Wakiso and Kampala turned up to vote and if Bobi Wine, who enjoys great support among urban youth, specifically males, is to have a serious shot at the presidency, that percentage will have to dramatically increase to 80% or 90%.
Mwenda’s findings show that president Museveni generally still enjoys the support of female voters across the country and the leading opposition presidential candidate will have to work some magic to either eat into the NRM candidate’s female voters or make sure they swing to his side.
Voter Turn Out
The controversial journalist wrote that the voter turnout is usually low in urban areas where the opposition enjoys popularity and high in areas like Kiruhura and Karamoja where NRM has been getting massive support.
He gave an example of the 2016 presidential elections in which the voter turn up in both Kiruhura and Karamoja was at 80% and 85 % of the votes casted in those areas were in favour of Yoweri Kaguta Museveni.
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